DWTS6 Final 3 Predictions

No worries...  I didn't forget about my tradition of predicting the Dancing With The Stars Final 3 based on just one performance.   Thankfully, I got a bit of a reprieve with no first week eliminations.  Heck, I didn't even watch the ladies until Wednesday night as Tuesday was reality show overload... a 2-hour Idol, 1.5 hr DWTS (and Big Brother totally got the TiVo boot).

So while the "stars" get one more shot on the dance floor prior to the first double-elimination show on Tuesday, I still thought I would make my prediction just based solely on the first round.

This season definitely seems stacked in favor of the women (season 1's Kelly Monaco remains the only female champ)... while bad dancers sometimes stick around for awhile I think Penn or Adam will be one of the first guys to get the boot, with Steve not too far behind... while Cristian was certainly lovely to look at... he didn't have the moves or charisma and a lack of a fan-base will likely hurt him as well.

The women are rife with reasons to stay around... though sadly for me, I have no doubt the first casualty on the women's side will be Monica.  Besides the very so-so dancing start... the shy personality and not being a household name will do her in.  Other women that I see going sooner rather than later are Shannon and Priscilla.  Shannon lacks of a fan-base and the personality or back-story of the other female competitors.  Priscilla by far has received the most press this season... I truly think she is a "private person," but based on the first show she is coming across as a bit aloof or a wet-fish... or else the apparent botox overdose (allegedly!) makes her incapable of facial expressions.

That leaves my close, but no cigar folks... on the men's side that would be Mario... while, by far, the most naturally talented dancer on the entire show... I don't think the DWTS demographics know him well enough and he doesn't strike me as someone that will build a base on his personality... talent-wise he'll be the Sabrina of this season. 

On the women's side, I am boldly going to say that Marlee isn't going to make it to the finals.  Like pretty much everyone, I was amazed what she was able to do on the dance floor... but after several weeks, it won't be a surprise anymore and while she has an engaging personality, I just think one week she'll slip through the cracks... but it will be a decent run...

So we come to my final 3...

Kristi was the prohibitive favorite going in and while I certainly expected her to do well in the "classy" ballroom genre, it'll be interesting to see what she does with the Latin dances.  While she could be in danger for being consistently great (which I think she will be)... that "America's Sweetheart" quality should keep her in until the end.

Pro athletes seem to do particularly well ... so it didn't take much thought to put Jason in my Final 3.  While he didn't show the personality of a Jerry, Emmitt, Apolo... he is certainly a good-looking guy and was really quite good on his first outing.  While I have to say I am not familiar with him (shocking I know that I don't follow pro football!), I think he'll do okay.

My wildcard pick is Marissa.  Definitely coming in without household name recognition, there is no doubt she immediately won legions of fans with her bubbly personality on and off the dance the floor.  I didn't think I stopped smiling once during her first performance... and that alone should take her far.

Comments

[Jeff]

Agreed. Kristi did really well last night. And Mario, wow, I hadn't heard of him before, but he was definitely on the hot tamale train. (To steal a phrase from that other dance competition.) :)